Rio De Janeiro: Brazil is currently responsible for a quarter of daily Covid-19 deaths worldwide, far more than any other country, and health experts warn country is on the brink of even more calamity big.
The country’s average of 2,400 seven-day deaths is expected to rise to 3,000 in a matter of weeks, six experts said. This is almost the worst level seen by the United States, although Brazil has two-thirds of its population. Peak daily deaths could soon reach 4,000; on Friday there were 3,650.
It is now increasingly recognized that shutdowns are no longer preventable – not only among experts, but also many mayors and governors. The restrictions implemented last year were lukewarm and sabotaged by President Jair Bolsonaro, who sought to avert economic catastrophe.
It may be too late, with a more contagious variant rampant across Brazil. For the first time, daily new cases exceeded 100,000 on March 25, and many more have gone unrecorded. Miguel Nicolelis, a professor at Duke University who has advised several Brazilian governors and mayors on the fight against the pandemic, predicts that the total death toll will reach 500,000 by July and exceed that of the United States by the end of the year.
The system is already warping, with almost every state’s ICUs near or at full capacity. Jose Antonio Curiati, supervisor of Hospital das Clinicas in Sao Paulo, Latin America’s largest hospital complex, said its beds were full, but patients kept arriving. “Four thousand deaths a day seem to be around the corner,” he said. ap